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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
May 12, 2018
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How to Play Home Depot (HD) Earnings & Beyond

On Friday, May 11, 2018, Michael discussed an interesting way to implement an intermediate bullish position in Home Depot given the company will be announcing earnings on May, 15. Those that…

May 11, 2018
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Close the NVIDIA (NVDA) Earnings Trade

Time to close the NVIDIA earnings trade. Last Friday, Mike suggested investors take a bullish position on the company's stock ahead of earnings. Interesting how this one played out. The equity…

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Oil is Where the Action Is

The stocks of energy (oil & gas) companies are leading the market higher much to the surprise to us and many market observers. The US oil and gas industry is undergoing…

May 9, 2018
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Covered Call Report

Covered call writing is the most common options trading strategies used by individuals and professionals alike. Some people believe it is a low-risk strategy that generates income. We like to…

May 8, 2018
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On Friday, May 5, 2018, Michael discussed a bullish strategy for trading Nvidia, the silicon chip manufacturer that produces video processing chips used for gaming, computer-aided design, crypto mining, artificial intelligence,…

May 7, 2018
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Buffett & Bitcoins

Over the weekend, Berkshire Hathaway held its annual shareholder's meeting. The Berkshire shareholder meeting is one of the most unique of all time. It is by far the largest shareholder meeting…

May 7, 2018
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The Week Ahead 05/07/2018

What to Watch for this Week This week the economic calendar is normal, with emphasis on labor markets and inflation.  Earnings season continues to surprise most analysts, but the market…

May 4, 2018
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The Fed and the Value of the Dollar & Risk Assets

It is the national policy for virtually every centrally planned economy on the planet (which is all of them) to devalue the currency. Economic central planners use currency as a tool…

May 4, 2018
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A Mises Moment | What Determines a Currency Exchange Rate?

On 27-April-2018, we wrote an article about the US Dollar. In that note, we discussed our methodology for analyzing and trading currencies. While we prefer to focus on single stocks,…

May 3, 2018
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Tesla Report Earnings | Musk Says Q’s Are Boring | Stock Tanks

Yesterday after the close, Tesla reported their production and earnings number to the public. We think their production performance was a slight beat relative to expectations. Tesla has consistently over promised…

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