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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
November 9, 2017
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Covered Call Report

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Prudential Insurance (Pru): Can you Smell What the Rock is Cookin?

Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) is a diversified financial services company. It provides insurance (life insurance annuities, and annuities as well as P&C insurance) and investment management services worldwide. On the…

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Starbucks (SBUX): Proving the Exception to the Rule

If you listen to conventional wisdom, a big dominant online presence is the must-have, go-to strategy for delivering products and services to your customers. Starbucks (SBUX) is one of the great…

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The Week Ahead 11/06/2017

What to Watch for this Week After a heavy week of news, the SP 500 was up and down and up.  With a very narrow range of around 22 points,…

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Crude Oil Update: “Hope Re-enters the Market”

The price of crude oil has been inching up as of late and this is getting the analysts, financial press and market prognosticators more bullish. We are seeing more articles…

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Can Gradual Interest-Rate Tightening Prevent a Bust?

We invest in the real world, not the theoretical one. But investment, monetary, economic, etc. theory is an important part of the investment process. We often think about macro trades, commodity,…

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Tax Reform, Something Real or Much Ado About Nothing?

The House Ways and Means Committee came out with their tax reform plan, which has been hyped extensively since the election. Now that there is something real to look at,…

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Fed Statement & Its Impact on Our View of Interest Rates & the US Dollar

The Federal Reserve had a meeting and issued a statement yesterday. We did not learn very much, but we did learn that the Fed has finally stated that the economy…

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Hold a Buck to Make a Buck

One of the subjects that we have discussed here at TOE has been monetary policy, interest rate differentials, and the performance of the US Dollar. As a memory refresher, we…

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Monday, Tuesday & Wednesday are the Best Days to Own Stocks, Forget Thursday & Friday

The efficient market hypothesis posits that daily share price movements are random and that all stocks are priced with the expectation that the holder of an asset earning a profit…

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