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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
March 30, 2018
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Crypto Carnage & Bear Markets

The cryptos are taking it on the chin again today, compounding what was already a bad month. We discussed both the technological promise and the speculative danger in cryptos and…

March 29, 2018
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Tesla Update | Stuck in the Vortex of Murphy’s Law

Someday's you do not want to get out of bed. Maybe that is the way Elon Musk and shareholders of TSLA are feeling these days. The share price of TSLA…

March 29, 2018
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Beware the Crypto Thief

We talk about crypto’s here at the TOE from time to time. It is important to remember that the technology that backs these systems is in its infancy. While the…

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What Keeps a Billionaire Investor Up at Night?

If I were a billionaire, probably nothing at all... Every time we open up a web page, newspaper, magazine or flip on our favorite TV channel, we are told about all…

March 28, 2018
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Shopify Needs Facebook | So Now What?

Shopify (SHOP) has been a wall street darling ever since it went public in May of 2015. The company provides a cloud-based multi-channel commerce platform for small and medium-sized businesses in…

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Stock Prices | A Battle Between Optimism and Pessimism

The battle between optimism and pessimism is playing out in full regalia. After falling about 5.9% last week, the S&P500 rocketed 2.7% higher yesterday, putting in the best one-day performance in…

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The Week Ahead 03/25/2018

What to Watch for this Week The economic calendar is regular, and the market is closed on March 30th, 2018, for Good Friday. Most of the data points on the…

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Will this Chip Shot Hit a Birdie?

Tech has been the leader of the market rally since the financial crisis. We have noted in previous articles that the NASDAQ index has finally reached the peak reached in…

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Equities get Hammered | What’s Next?

Yesterday was another ugly day for the bulls. At its morning low, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down about 506 points. After a head-fake recovery, it finished the day down…

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Hated Stocks

Investor sentiment swings from optimism to pessimism and back again continuously. Sometimes these emotional swings attach themselves to individual stocks, sometimes they attach themselves asset classes, technologies or even counties.…

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