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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
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Is a Short Squeeze in Bonds Upon Us?

We have been writing about interest rates, bonds, and the Fed a little more than normal lately. We have been doing this because we think short bonds are one of…

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Shedding Some Light on Acuity Brands (AYI)

Acuity Brands, Inc. (NYSE: AYI) is a leading provider of lighting and building management solutions for commercial, industrial, infrastructure, and residential applications throughout North America and some international markets. Individual…

March 23, 2017
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Can PPL Continue to Power Higher?

PPL Corporation is a traditional electric and gas utility company. The electric utility business is broken into three segments, (1) generation, (2) transmission and (3) distribution. While PPL has some…

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The FED Does Not Set Interest Rates & Is Not Data Dependent

If you listen to the investment strategists, fixed-income specialists, financial press, politicians, and employees of the Federal Reserve System, you would think that interest rates are under control of the…

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Low Risk Bullish Trades Getting Hard to Find

When looking for investment opportunities, we prefer bullish opportunities to bearish ones. If we were to describe our ideal investment it would have a number of characteristics, which are listed…

March 20, 2017
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Bitcoin’s Growing Pains

Bitcoin continues to experience growing pains. The price of Bitcoin was jolted after the SEC rejected the Winklevoss Brothers application to sponsor an issue a Bitcoin ETF. The price of…

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Portfolio Update, Roll AIZ

Friday was options expiration and it is time to update and review our results. The following table provides the summary statistics of all the trading ideas published since the inception…

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Investor Complacency Everywhere You Look

Ever since the election, the equity markets have moved higher day after day. Merrill Lynch Global Research recently pointed out, for example, that the S&P 500 Index has gone 105 days…

March 16, 2017
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The Name’s Bond, Treasury Bond

(Image Source | Wikimedia Commons) Yesterday afternoon, the Federal Reserve did as the financial media and most investor’s expected. They raised the price of borrowing money by raising the discount…

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Ackman Gives Up On a Valeant Effort

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