Can UAL Takeoff?
The airline industry is not what it once was. It has matured and transformed from a highly competitive and fragmented industry to one that is still competitive but more disciplined…
An Alternative Way to Play a Smackdown
There are a number of ways of playing a crash in share prices. The traditional methods investors use would be to buy out of the money puts by the truckload…
The Week Ahead 10/2/2017
What to Watch for this Week Today starts the fourth quarter of 2017. As usual, the first week of the month and the quarter is a big week for economic…
Interest Rate & Bond Update: iShares 20+ Years T-BondETF (TLT)
One could argue that the bond market is the most distorted market on plant terra today. Central banks around the world have been buying government and/or mortgage and/or corporate bonds…
Proposed Tax Plan
Yesterday, the President’s tax plan was leaked to the press and outside world. It seems that investors were very enthusiastic about what they read. The S&P 5oo was up about…
What Will Cause the Next Recession & Bear Market?
What will cause the next bear market? Virtually every day, there is a conversation on the various financial media TV shows (CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Fox Business, etc.) where guests and…
Tesla (TSLA): Deja Vu All Over Again
Back on 10-August-2017, we wrote a post on Tesla (TSLA) the leader and wall street favorite electric car manufacturer. Those that are familiar with our process know that we typically combine…
The Week Ahead 9/25/2017
What to Watch for this Week $AAPL started to sell its new wares around the world last Friday. I found a chart that shows what the iPhone X would cost…
Bubble in Taxi Medallions Bursts: How Bad Will it Get? Is There a Trade?
In order to drive a taxi in a big city like New York, Boston or Chicago, the driver must buy a medallion from either the City who issues them or…
Quantitative Tightening and the Price of Risk Assets: Is there a Trade in Gold?
The Fed has given itself marching orders. Let $10 billion of securities roll-off the books in October. "Rinse and Repeat" in November and December. Come January 2018, increase the roll off…