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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
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Every Picture Tells a Story, & So Do These Charts

If you are wondering why it is getting harder and harder to make a buck by holding a diversified portfolio of stocks, you are not alone. During the meat of…

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The Week Ahead – Thanksgiving Week Special

Happy Thanksgiving everyone. from the guys at The Option Edge. Here is a little history about how Thanksgiving came to be. Thanksgiving, or Thanksgiving Day, is a public holiday celebrated on the fourth…

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Can Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) Help Investors Beat the Market?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an area of computer science that attempts to make computers think, act, react like humans and perhaps with greater judgment, unaffected by internal biases and emotions.…

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Pension Crisis Update: Are Bailouts on the Way

Most people are not aware of the public pension crisis currently underway with the exceptions of the politicians and government employees its effects. This is unfortunate because those that will…

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As the Worm Turns The Market Squirms

Ever since the equity markets bottomed in March of 2009, prices have moved relentlessly higher. The price trend from the lower left to the upper right marched on without regard to…

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The Good, The Bad & The Hated

We think investor sentiment is a very important factor in the pricing of risk assets. Robert J. Shiller has written extensively about how emotions play a roll in the pricing of…

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Actions to take this Options Expiration Week

Standard Monthly Options expire at the end of this week. Since we have 4 open positions to address, we thought we should discuss them now so you have time to decide…

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The Week Ahead 11/13/2017

While reading Forbes this week, we came across an interesting article on Bitcoin and millennials. According to Wikipedia, millennials were born in the late 1980’s or early 1990’s and began…

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Beware Conventional Wisdom & Running w/ the Bulls (or the Bears)

When you construct a building, jet airplane, automobile, etc. consensus is key to ensuring the item under development will perform as demanded and expected. It's a good thing when engineers agree…

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Potential for Market Mayhem

Yesterday, the US Equity markets took a spill. It was the first selloff of any importance in a few weeks. Every selloff of since mid-August has been met with more…

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