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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
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The Week Ahead | 10/29/2018

The market had another horrible week.  How Bad? Let’s count the ways.  The Russell 2000 is down 12.5% in October; the Nasdaq Composite is down 10.9%; the S&P 500 is…

October 27, 2018
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Should You Take a Bite of the AAPL?

On Thursday, November 1, Apple Inc. (AAPL) will be reporting Q3 earnings for 2018. This company and its stock is one of many Wall Street darlings, but this one seems to…

October 25, 2018
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Equity Prices Smashed, What’s Next?

Everything has gone macro. As the larger equity market sells off, the company-specific news is being ignored by investors. So today, we will discuss what is next for the Dow…

October 24, 2018
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Value Investors are Mad as Hell

And they are not going to take it anymore. Or maybe not. If you look back over the past 100 years or so, value investing has delivered higher returns to investors…

October 23, 2018
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China | Shaping Up to be an Interesting Story

The news flow with respect to China's equity and bond market has turned decidedly negative. This is quite natural as the major market equity indexes describing the return performance of Chinese…

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The Week Ahead | 10/22/2018

Global Spotlight Saudi Royal Pains. The White House is coordinating closely with embattled Saudi leaders in trying to contain the fallout from the killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Tokyo and…

October 21, 2018
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The Bulls are getting Bitter on Twitter

It is becoming ever more clear that Mike has a hot hand at the moment. On 7-September-2018, Mike noted on Options Action that Twitter (TWTR) was looking quite wobbly. The…

October 19, 2018
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What’s Next for US Equity Prices?

It is no news to those who follow the equity markets from a distance or for those who have capital at risk, that the US and indeed the global equity…

October 18, 2018
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Covered Call Report

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October 16, 2018
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Close Freeport McMoRan (FCX) Trade

On August 15 of this year, we took a closer look at the price of copper and one of the biggest copper producers, Freeport McMoRan, the big mining copper that…

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