R U an Optimist or Pessimist? DFS
The economy is in a strange place. Inflation is running over 9%, but walls street thinks the neutral interest rate is 3%. With that thought in mind, institutional investors are…
Precious Metals: SLV
One of the greatest conundrums faced by fundamental investors is precious metals. Here we are, price inflation is running wild, yet precious metals are falling like a brick. - Pun…
The Week Ahead | 8/1/2022
The month of July has been a splendid month for investors. The fed funds futures market is pricing in another 100 basis points of rate hikes for the remainder of…
More Thoughts on What to do with the Semis: SMH, AMD & INTC
One of the big winners during the C19 lockdown was the tech stocks in general and the semiconductor stocks in particular. People rushed out to buy computers, cameras, lights, etc.,…
It Just Doesn’t Matter
There is a famous scene in the comedy movie “Meatballs” when the great Bill Murray preaches to his colleagues and fellow campers who face overwhelming odds that everything they confront…
Ford: F
The auto companies are caught in two strong cross currents. The economy is under stress, so sales could slow. However, the lockdown took significant production out of the mix and…
Twillio, Is there any Hope? TWLO
Twillio is a company that finds itself in the cross hairs of decentralized business models. Will they find a way out, or are they headed to the dustbin of disruption…
Cleveland Cliff: CLF
Cleveland Cliffs is an interesting situation. Wall Street analysts universally hate the company. The reason why is one of those two-handed situations. This article is for paid members - please…
The Week Ahead | 7/25/2022
The first half of 2022 was the worst first half of a year for the S&P 500 since 1970! There were a lot of factors contributing to that dour start.…
Splashing Splunk: SPLK
The last time we looked at Splunk was April 20, when we thought the stock price had started a bear move, and we thought more downside was in the stock's…
It’s What You are Sure of that will Kill You: SMH
Investing is a dangerous endeavor that traders confront every day. There is what the trader thinks. There is the truth, which is unknowable. Finally, there is what everyone else thinks.…
Close a Couple of Trades (IBM, TLT)
Sometimes trades hit their mark before options expiration. Sometimes it seems like the thesis will not play out as planned.