Crude Oil: USO
The oil market is one of the few assets we think have a chance to move higher in the months ahead. But that does not mean we are bullish on…
Consumer Price Inflation Come in Hotter than Consensus Expectation
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports inflation came in hotter than Keynesian economics expected. Our work on money supply versus the economy, which we discussed in our video on inflation,…
Campbell Soup Company: CPB
The bear market is growling in full force. When the bear market started, it was not challenging to find bearish ideas. There were loads of stocks that were trading at…
Semiconductors: MU
We have discussed the semiconductor stocks a few times this year and have suggested some bearish trades that worked out successfully. We have been and still are very concerned with…
The Week Ahead | 10/10/2022
The jobs report from this past week showed that labor markets are still tight, which points to a strong CPI print for September. We’re expecting a 0.46%MoM increase in core…
Crash Risk Has Never Been Higher: SPY
The stock market tried to rally and failed. September was a disaster for the stock prices, and people with hope in their hearts "bought the dip" as they hoped the…
Virtu Financial: VIRT
Stocks are in a bear market, bonds are in a bear market, and real estate is rolling over into a bear market. This environment makes trading on the long side…
Tesla: TSLA
Tesla is a stock we have had a difficult time getting right. If you think of it as a car company, it is an overpriced stock. From this perspective, Teslas…
Live Nation Entertainment: LVY
During the C19 lockdown, the government would not let live events occur. Everything had to take place behind a computer screen. It was not much of a human experience, but…
The Week Ahead | 10/03/2022
The week of Oct. 3 is expected to be a busy one for earnings announcements, with four S&P 500 companies reporting quarterly results. So far, the earnings picture looks good,…
The Scariest Stock Chart
Investors everywhere are starting to conclude that stocks are in a bear market. How could you not? The S&P500 is down almost 26% from the peak, including dividends. At the…
Interest Rates: TLT
Anyone who has read our posts, watched our videos, or observed our tweets knows that we think interest rates are the knob that the market uses to derive a valuation.…