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Campbell Soup: CPB

Today, we return to one of our favorite value stocks, Campbell Soup. It is a consumer staple whose stock should be performing well. But that is not the case. The stock is trading down, and the reason for this, in…
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Missing Their Target

A risk premium is the additional return an investor expects to receive for taking on extra risk compared to a risk-free investment, such as a government bond. It represents the compensation for bearing uncertainty or potential losses associated with an…
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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
October 10, 2022
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The Week Ahead | 10/10/2022

The jobs report from this past week showed that labor markets are still tight, which points to a strong CPI print for September. We’re expecting a 0.46%MoM increase in core…

October 7, 2022
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Crash Risk Has Never Been Higher: SPY

The stock market tried to rally and failed. September was a disaster for the stock prices, and people with hope in their hearts "bought the dip" as they hoped the…

October 6, 2022
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Virtu Financial: VIRT

Stocks are in a bear market, bonds are in a bear market, and real estate is rolling over into a bear market. This environment makes trading on the long side…

October 4, 2022
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Tesla: TSLA

Tesla is a stock we have had a difficult time getting right. If you think of it as a car company, it is an overpriced stock. From this perspective, Teslas…

October 4, 2022
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Live Nation Entertainment: LVY

During the C19 lockdown, the government would not let live events occur. Everything had to take place behind a computer screen. It was not much of a human experience, but…

October 3, 2022
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The Week Ahead | 10/03/2022

The week of Oct. 3 is expected to be a busy one for earnings announcements, with four S&P 500 companies reporting quarterly results. So far, the earnings picture looks good,…

October 2, 2022
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The Scariest Stock Chart

Investors everywhere are starting to conclude that stocks are in a bear market. How could you not? The S&P500 is down almost 26% from the peak, including dividends. At the…

September 30, 2022
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Interest Rates: TLT

Anyone who has read our posts, watched our videos, or observed our tweets knows that we think interest rates are the knob that the market uses to derive a valuation.…

September 29, 2022
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First Solar: FSLR

First Solar is one of the leading providers of solar panels. Their solar panels are some of the most efficient at converting light to electricity. This article is for paid…

September 27, 2022
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Take-Two Interactive: TTWO

As the US plays catchup with the rest of the world and falls into a recession, people will significantly reorient their spending. People will focus on the necessities and put…

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