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Campbell Soup: CPB

Today, we return to one of our favorite value stocks, Campbell Soup. It is a consumer staple whose stock should be performing well. But that is not the case. The stock is trading down, and the reason for this, in…
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Missing Their Target

A risk premium is the additional return an investor expects to receive for taking on extra risk compared to a risk-free investment, such as a government bond. It represents the compensation for bearing uncertainty or potential losses associated with an…
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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
December 10, 2022
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Bank of New York Mellon” BK

The Bank of New York Mellon is one of our favorite bank stocks and is rarely, if ever, talked about by the financial media. It is not the most exciting…

December 8, 2022
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Casey’s General Store: CASY

It is exhausting to be bearish. We do not know what to be, but the errors made by policymakers require us to be so. Our preference is to be objective.…

December 6, 2022
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Burlington Stores: BURL

Burlington stores is not a company we have talked about in the past. But given its recent price action, we think it represents an exciting situation. This article is for…

December 6, 2022
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Marriott International: MAR

The travel, leisure, airlines, and hospitality sectors were some of the hardest-hit sectors when the government locked down the economy. No news there. After the government let these companies reopen…

December 5, 2022
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The Week Ahead | 12/5/2022

Despite the contraction in GDP in the first and second quarters of 2022, the unemployment rate remained low, indicating that the U.S. economy was not in a recession. Real GDP…

December 4, 2022
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Government Debt: How does it end?

From the country's founding in 17-September-1787 until the creation of the Federal Reserve, the cumulative inflation rate was virtually zero. Furthermore, the government did not accumulate "permanent" debt. This is…

December 3, 2022
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China Internet Stocks: KWEB

In our last post, we viewed emerging market stocks positively. They have been chronic laggards for years. EEM, the ETF that tracks emerging market stocks, has not delivered a return…

December 1, 2022
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Emerging Markets, What’s Next? EEM

We have been negative on Emerging Market Stocks for quite some time now. Our thesis was that if the US catches a cold, Europe & Asia get the flu, and…

November 29, 2022
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APA Corporation: APA

On October 13, we were short-term bearish on oil price. The oil price is down a little bit since then, but it did not sell off as aggressively as we…

November 29, 2022
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Matson: MATX

The shipping companies and their stock prices were one of the biggest but undiscussed beneficiaries of the C19 lockdown. Maybe because it is "old economy." Old economy stocks are boring…

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