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Campbell Soup: CPB

Today, we return to one of our favorite value stocks, Campbell Soup. It is a consumer staple whose stock should be performing well. But that is not the case. The stock is trading down, and the reason for this, in…
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Missing Their Target

A risk premium is the additional return an investor expects to receive for taking on extra risk compared to a risk-free investment, such as a government bond. It represents the compensation for bearing uncertainty or potential losses associated with an…
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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
August 22, 2023
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Microstrategy Update: MSTR

Bitcoin is in a period of price consolidation. MicroStrategy has an enterprise software business that generates free cash flow. This causes the stock to have a positive drift. However, the…

August 21, 2023
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The Steel Industry is in Play: MT

U.S. Steel is in a takeover play by two companies: Cleveland-Cliffs and Esmark. During the industrial revolution, the steel industry was a big deal. This article is for paid members…

August 21, 2023
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The Week Ahead | 08/20/2023

Welcome to “The Week Ahead,” where we dive into the key economic indicators that are shaping the markets and influencing investment decisions. As summer winds down, the U.S. economy is…

August 19, 2023
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Home Depot: HD

Home Depot is the leading home improvement supply company. If you own a house, condominium, or apartment, you go there or visit one of its competitors like Lowes, Menards, or…

August 16, 2023
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Kraft Heinz: KHC

Kraft Heinz is a food stock that we are all familiar with. They sell products we use every day. This article is for paid members - please login or subscribe…

August 16, 2023
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Mid Month Musings: Rates (TLT) and Small Cap Stocks (IWM)

Asset prices are starting to get more volatile. Interest rates are rising, causing bond prices to fall. Equity pricing is resisting. How long will that last? This article is for…

August 15, 2023
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Options Expiration

Standard monthly options expire this Friday. As a result, we need to address two trades with options expiring on the 18th. This article is for registered members - please login…

August 14, 2023
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Spotify: SPOT

Spotify is a company that wants to be the Netflix of music. This is a great ambition, but will the company ever turn the corner to profitability? This article is…

August 14, 2023
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The Week Ahead | 8/14/2023

Welcome back to The Week Ahead, if you’ve been following our recent discussions, you’ll know there’s a whirlwind of excitement brewing. Let’s touch on the S&P 500 for a moment.…

August 12, 2023
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Kellogg… What’s for Breakfast: K

Some people we talk to are looking for a slowdown in the economy's growth rate but not a recession. Some seek a corrective selloff of 8 to 10% share prices.…

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