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Campbell Soup: CPB

Today, we return to one of our favorite value stocks, Campbell Soup. It is a consumer staple whose stock should be performing well. But that is not the case. The stock is trading down, and the reason for this, in…
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Missing Their Target

A risk premium is the additional return an investor expects to receive for taking on extra risk compared to a risk-free investment, such as a government bond. It represents the compensation for bearing uncertainty or potential losses associated with an…
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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
October 3, 2023
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Home Builders: XHB

The housing market has been a problem for market observers. Short-term interest rates have risen dramatically. Long-term rates have risen, but not as much. This has brought the sales of…

October 2, 2023
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The Week Ahead | 10/02/2023

The S&P 500, a leading indicator of the health and momentum of the U.S. stock market, is navigating turbulent waters. Recent data reveals an ebbing tide in its profitability, particularly…

September 30, 2023
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McDonalds: MCD

The State of California just passed a law that says any restaurant chain with more than 60 stores must pay a minimum wage of $20 an hour. This article is…

September 29, 2023
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Federal Express: FDX

The overall stock market is getting a bit wobbly. It feels like it is getting peaky. We argue that this is due to higher interest rates. Since the intrinsic value…

September 26, 2023
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Regional Banks: KRE

Not long ago, regional banks like Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Signature Bank, and Silvergate, among others, went down the drain. The primary reason was Fed government helicopter cash…

September 26, 2023
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Will the Beauty Last Forever: ULTA

Experience tells us that it rarely, if ever, does. Everything in life is cyclical. Generally, people, government, and businesses are born, grow, peak, and finally decay. This article is for…

September 25, 2023
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The Week Ahead | 09/25/2023

As we approach the upcoming week, it’s crucial to be informed about the significant events that will shape the US economic landscape. The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to maintain policy…

September 23, 2023
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Will the Worm Turn?: SPY, IWM, UST10Yr

The bull market that started at the April 2020 low is running out of steam. This begs the question, is it time for a good old-fashioned bear market that clips…

September 21, 2023
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Honda Motor Corporation: HMC

The big three domestic car companies are in a bind. The government is forcing them to change their product mix. They demand that auto manufacturers drop the internal combustion engine.…

September 19, 2023
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Amazon: AMZN

Amazon is a company that does not need any introduction. I am willing to bet that almost everyone in the US has used their service. In the complex where mark…

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