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Missing Their Target

A risk premium is the additional return an investor expects to receive for taking on extra risk compared to a risk-free investment, such as a government bond. It represents the compensation for bearing uncertainty or potential losses associated with an…
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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
March 11, 2024
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Open Mike: CITI, CNC, TSLA, GOOGL & CRM

In Monday’s episode of Openmike, Mike discusses Citibank, Centene, Tesla Earings, the date of the announcement, GOOGL, and Salesforce.

March 9, 2024
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Gold and the Miners: GLD, GDX & GDXJ

In November of 2023, we suggested traders and investors take a long-term position in gold—the reason why was quite simple. The financial condition of the US government is in complete…

March 8, 2024
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Open Mike Replay

In this episode of Open Mike, Mike takes questions from those who had equations about the following stocks: Nike (NKE), Foot Locker (FL), Communications Services ETF (XLC), Tesla (TSLA), S&P…

March 6, 2024
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United Airlines: UAL

We find it interesting that many of the large airline stocks, like United, still suffer from C19 lockdown hangover. We do not know why, but maybe there is a lingering…

March 6, 2024
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Apple Inc.: AAPL

On January 10, 2024, we suggested a bearish stance on Apple stock. From a theoretical perspective, making bearish bets is challenging to do as the odds are against the trade.…

March 5, 2024
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Target: TGT

Target has been one of the best big box stores in the U.S. for years if not decades. It was a Wall Street darling until it was not. This article…

March 4, 2024
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Open Mike

Mike discusses Nike and Footlocker. In the final analysis, he likes shoe manufacturing over the shoe and athletic clothing retailer. In further discussion, he discussed how to think about the…

March 4, 2024
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The Week Ahead | 3/4/2024

The U.S. economy in 2024 is navigating a landscape marked by cautious optimism and significant adjustments. Following a year where the economy outperformed expectations with a 2.8% real GDP growth,…

March 2, 2024
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February in Review

Bullish investors had a good month in February 2024. The bears, not so much.

March 2, 2024
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PayPal:PYPL

There are a number of companies that online retailers can use to sell products online. One of the most popular is PayPal. This article is for paid members - please…

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