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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
May 7, 2024
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Open Mike

In Monday’s episode of Open Mike, Mike discusses Disney ($DIS), Delta Airlines ($DAL), Uber ($UBER), Robin Hood ($HOOD), Lululemon ($LULU), and Blackrock ($BLK).

May 6, 2024
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APA Inc: APA

The oil and gas market surprises us these days, but that does not mean there is nothing intelligent to do. We have been patient, waiting for the old trend to…

May 6, 2024
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The Scariest Chart We See

The stock market has been in a bull phase since the bottom of the Great Depression of the 1930s. The scarcest chart suggests that the move could end at any…

May 5, 2024
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Probability of Profit

In this video, we replay an old video of Mike discussing how one should think about the probability of profit when trading options. It is just as relevant today as…

May 4, 2024
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China Internet Stocks: KWEB

China's internet stocks took a severe beating in 2021, reaching a low by the end of 2022. The 80% fall in KWEB, the ETF that tracks China's Tech stocks, is…

May 2, 2024
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Open Mike

On Wednesday’s episode of Open Mike, Mike takes questions and discusses earnings. Specifically, he discusses $AAPL, $GOOGL, $AMD, $SBUX, $CVS, $SQ, and $SPY hedging.

May 2, 2024
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Close some trades

We have a number of trade suggestions that we think should be closed before expiration for various reasons. This article is for registered members - please login or click here…

May 1, 2024
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Micron Technologies: MU

Will the semiconductor stocks go from hero to zero? This is the question on our minds. This article is for paid members - please login or subscribe for access.

April 29, 2024
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Open Mike

In Monday’s episode of Open Mike, Mike discusses Albemarle Corp (ABM), a big producer of lithium, and the price of lithium, which is down a surprising 65% from its peak.

April 29, 2024
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Blackrock: BLK

Blackrock is one of the most prominent asset managers in the world. If there were ever a company that discovered a secret sauce, it would be called BlackRock. The reason…

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