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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
July 30, 2024
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Bank of America: BAC

From the outside, it looked like Bank of America went within a whisker of going out of business in 2009 and  2010. This article is for paid members - please…

July 29, 2024
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Disney: DIS

What can you say about Disney? It was once one of the most significant U.S. companies and became one of the world's biggest and worst-run companies. This article is for…

July 29, 2024
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Open Mike

In this episode of Open Mike, Mike discusses earnings and implied moves. The first company he mentions is Caravan, which sells cars without salesmen. One of their innovations is the…

July 28, 2024
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With New Car Inventories at Multi-Year Highs, Can Online Used Dealer Carvana Maintain Huge Gains?

One of the most remarkable stocks over the past five years is Carvana. It was founded in 2012 by Ernest Garcia III, son of infamous Arizona used-car dealer Ernest Garcia…

July 28, 2024
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How Much Energy is Left in the ExxonMobil Trade?

Over the past couple of weeks, energy stocks have outperformed as investors have moved away from Information Technology, Communications Services, and Consumer Discretionary and into everything else.  This article is…

July 27, 2024
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DoorDash:DASH

Weakness is starting to creep into the low-cost sector of the restaurant business. Franchise restaurants, in particular, are taking it on the chin. This article is for paid members -…

July 25, 2024
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Lamb Weston’s (LW) Terrible, No-Good, Rotten Quarter May Provide Opportunity

Lamb Weston was yesterday's worst-performing stock in the S&P500. The Eagle, Idaho-based supplier of frozen potato, sweet potato, appetizer, and vegetable products to restaurants and retailers worldwide reported disappointing earnings…

July 24, 2024
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NVIDIA: NVDA

The overall stock market got shellacked on Wednesday. These big one-day selloffs are becoming more common. This price action of a big down day followed by a big up day…

July 23, 2024
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Etsy Inc.: ETSY

Another company that competes in the online marketplace space is Etsy. While eBay may be the adult in the space, Etsy is the sassy teenager experimenting with ways to grow…

July 22, 2024
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eBay: EBAY

EBay is an interesting company. Some people use it as their primary marketing platform, and others use it to offload personal items they no longer want or need. This article…

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