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Campbell Soup: CPB

Today, we return to one of our favorite value stocks, Campbell Soup. It is a consumer staple whose stock should be performing well. But that is not the case. The stock is trading down, and the reason for this, in…
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Missing Their Target

A risk premium is the additional return an investor expects to receive for taking on extra risk compared to a risk-free investment, such as a government bond. It represents the compensation for bearing uncertainty or potential losses associated with an…
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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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For Gap, Inc. Slow and Steady Wins the Race

Gap, Inc. (GPS) is a worldwide apparel retailer. Most if not all of us have shopped at one of their stores at one time or another. The company has a…

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Is the Optimism in Emerging Market Equities Justified?

This content is available exclusively to Risk Reversal subscribers on their website www.riskreversal.com

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Why Is Investing So Difficult?

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Mosaic (MOS) Why Can’t This Fertilizer Grow?

The Mosaic Company is a very simple one. It manufactures fertilizer and markets it worldwide. The base minerals, phosphate, and potash come from the company’s mining operations. They are then…

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Should We Be Nervous About the Auto Sector? The GM Trade…

The economic recovery is now 7 years old. By historical standards, this one is getting a bit long in the tooth. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) estimates that…

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Unemployment Claims: Is There Too Much Good News?

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Gilead Earnings & The Art of Guidance

Yesterday after the close, Gilead Sciences (GILD) reported their 4Q 2016 and FY 2016 financial results. This report was a classic good news / bad news story. The good news?…

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Is There Enough Economic Growth to Push Stock Prices Higher?

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“It will fluctuate.”

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February 6, 2017
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Will Silver Lead a Precious Metals Advance?

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