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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
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Are Hospitals on the Mend?

HCA Inc. (HCA) owns and operates approximately 169 hospitals and 116 freestanding surgery centers in 20 states and London, England. In addition to traditional hospital care, the company operates psychiatric…

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The Economic Law of Unintended Consequences

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Catching a Falling Knife? Palo Alto Networks

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Close Your Position on Target Corp (TGT)

Back on January 17, 2016 we suggested investors consider a bullish risk-reversal on Target Corp. (TGT), the general merchandise retailer. Our bullish call rested on a number of factors. (1)…

February 28, 2017
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Is Caution Warranted on the Price of Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is an interesting idea and one we think those with a libertarian bend would embrace. Bitcoin is a type of digital currency much like modern day currencies that reside…

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Express Scripts Overdosing on Uncertainty?

Express Scripts Holding Company, Inc. (ESRX) is a Pharmacy Benefits Management (PBM) company operating in the US, Canada, and Europe. Their services include network-pharmacy claims processing, home delivery pharmacy care,…

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What is the Price of Copper Saying?

Yesterday, the copper market gave a whispered that the first leg of the “infrastructure trade” may be coming to an end, at least for the time being. The chart below shows…

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What is a FEZ?

“The fez (Turkish: fes, plural fezzes or fezes, from Arabic Faas ” فاس “, the main town of Morocco before 1927[1]), as well as its equivalent, the tarboosh (Arabic: طربوش‎‎,…

February 22, 2017
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Will Earnings Charge Up Tesla Shareholders? (updated Feb 22)

Tesla is scheduled to report their Q4 2016 and FY2016 operating results Wednesday, February 22nd after the close. (view the earnings Webcast here at 5:30 ET/2:30 PT) Tesla is the most well-known…

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Month in Review February 2017

Friday, February 17, 2017, was the expiration date for standard monthly options. For anyone who has a position that is about to expire, they need to make some decisions. They…

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