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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
August 26, 2024
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Open Mike

In this episode of Open Mike, Mike discusses Nvidia, S&P500 and the Vix Index, Amazon, Cisco, Burlington Stores, Vale (of the long positions suggested at TOE), and SPY. This article…

August 26, 2024
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Crowdstrike: CRWD

The Crowdstrike fiasco hit so fast that we did not have time to trade the meltdown. Our tactic, therefore, was to wait for the initial selling to end and the…

August 23, 2024
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Avis Budget Group: CAR

The Avis Budget Group was one of the few old economy companies that benefitted from the lockdown. The share price fell a smidge upon the lockdown, but it was not…

August 21, 2024
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Honda Motor Corporation: HMC

Honda Motor Corp. is one of the cheapest stocks anywhere. It has been this way for some time, and we wonder when investors will recognize this fact and buy the…

August 20, 2024
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Open Mike

This article is for registered members - please login or click here to subscribe or register for free.

August 20, 2024
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Bath & Body Works, Inc.: BBWI

Bath and Body Works is a classic Peter Lynch stock. It is a boring company that makes lots of money and one that the women in his family would (probably)…

August 19, 2024
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Mean Streaks of Volatility

Volatility in the context of stocks and indices refers to the degree of variation or fluctuation in the price of a stock or an index over time. It is a…

August 15, 2024
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Open Mike

In Wednesday's episode of Open Mike, Mike discusses Volatility and earnings-implied moves in stock prices as they implied for Burlington Stores. This article is for registered members - please login…

August 15, 2024
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Head Fake

Today's note is just a short comment on the recent price action. The unwind of the Yern Carry Trade seems to be over and has not had a lasting effect.…

August 14, 2024
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Excelon: EXC

Everyone is talking about Artificial intelligence and the need to expand the capacity of data centers. Most people do not realize it, but these new data centers typically use 50…

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