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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
September 7, 2024
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Rise & Fall of Countries

Countries rise as strong people work hard, live with character, and build community. These countries fall as weak people reject hard work and live off the wealth created by their…

September 7, 2024
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Open Mike

In Wednesday's edition of Open Mike, Mike discusses PPL Corp (an electricity utility), Teradyne, volatility and the S&P500, Nvidia, TLT, Capri's purchase of Tapestry, and FAST. This article is for…

September 7, 2024
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DICK’s Sporting Goods: DKS

The market constantly sends signals to investors. In the bull market, stock prices go up on good news. When the bull market ends, stock prices fall even when a company…

September 7, 2024
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Semiconductor Stocks: SMH

Semiconductor stocks have been big winners since the great financial crisis. As good as the period from 2009 to 2020 was, the rally from the 2020 low to the recent…

September 4, 2024
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Retail: XRT

Yesterday's discussion focused on the triple Qs and the bearish potential they are signaling in tech stocks. This article is for paid members - please login or subscribe for access.

September 3, 2024
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Is it time to take cover?: QQQ

The stock market is becoming more volatile and not making any upward progress. This is the definition of return-free risk and price action, which often proceeds the inflation of pain.…

August 31, 2024
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Testa: TSLA

Tesla's share price has been in a holding pattern for some time. People are unsure what to make of the company's prospects as the excitement around E.V.s has waned over…

August 28, 2024
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Open Mike

In Wednesday's edition of Open Mike, Mike discusses copper and gold prices, the VIX, SPY straddles, and strange as a rough way of replicating a long VIX position, Berkshire Hathaway,…

August 28, 2024
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Dell Technologies: DELL

Dell Technologies will be reporting earnings after the close on Thursday, 2029. Dell is in an exciting position as they represent a potential beneficiary of Super Microcomputers' alleged self-inflicted wounds.…

August 27, 2024
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Super Microcomputer: SMCI

Super Microcomputer is among the big winners in the AI wars, at least regarding the stock market. They specialize in building and installing servers that go into the data centers.…

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