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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
November 12, 2024
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Options Expiration

Standard monthly options expire at the end of the week, and we have several trades to close. As much as we would like to say that all trades are winners,…

November 11, 2024
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The Macro

The big picture has changed. US investors have changed from neutral to somewhat bullish to "get out of my way, I have to buy some stocks." This article is for…

November 10, 2024
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How far can it Advance (Auto Parts)? AAP

Since hitting its all-time high on January 5th, 2022, Advance Auto Parts, which reports earnings this week, has grossly underperformed the stock market overall, even as its two most well-known…

November 9, 2024
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Rio Tinto: RIO

If you think China's fiscal and monetary stimulus will help the Chinese economy get back on its feet, one should expect an increase in the consumption of commodities of all…

November 6, 2024
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Buy Everything

Buy Everything. That seems to be the market's message after Election Wednesday. This article is for registered members - please login or click here to subscribe or register for free.

November 4, 2024
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Open Mike

In this episode of Open Mike, Mike discusses autonomous vehicles and the approach taken by Tesla, Waymo (Google), and Cruise. This article is for registered members - please login or…

November 4, 2024
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The Biggest Threat to Democracy

To hear proponents of either of this year's Presidential candidates tell it, their opponent is a "threat to democracy." Supporters of Kamala Harris - and Kamala Harris herself - compare…

November 2, 2024
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China Update

On September 28, we wrote a post suggesting the monetary and fiscal stimulus would be a shot in the arm for the price of Chinese stocks. This article is for…

October 30, 2024
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Open Mike

In this week's episode of Open Mike, Mike discusses Newmont Mining, gold, Alibaba, Chinese tech stocks (KWEB), United Airlines, VIX, S&P500 (SPY), Intel, and Alphabet. This article is for registered…

October 29, 2024
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Prediction Markets

As time goes on, it seems that we can bet on anything. Sports betting has always been a big deal, but it was largely ignored until the past few years.…

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