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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
January 7, 2025
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Carvana: CVNA

Carvana is a company that tries to bring convenience to buying and selling cars. It is a nice idea, but the company cannot seem to make a buck doing it.…

January 6, 2025
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The Campbell’s Company: CPB

Campbell's is one of our favorite range trading companies. The company is a profitable slow grower that trades at a reasonable price. The problem for the average investor is that…

January 5, 2025
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The Biden Administration Soured the Kroger Albertsons Merger, But Might It Still Be Worth a Nibble?

On December 11th, 2024, Judge Adrienne Nelson, appointed by President Biden, granted the administration’s request for a preliminary injunction against a proposed merger between Kroger Co., based in Cincinnati, Ohio,…

January 4, 2025
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Tesla: TSLA

Tesla's stock price has been on a rip since the election. A cynic would say that since Elon Musk has President Trump's ear, Tesla will get some subsidies and/or regulatory…

January 1, 2025
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Year End Review

No question about it. 2024 was a good year for investors and traders willing to move out along the risk curve. This article is for registered members - please login…

December 30, 2024
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Range Resources: RRC

The natural gas market is finally waking up. We have been wondering when that will happen as the need for electricity is growing rapidly, and the fuel of choice in…

December 28, 2024
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Macro Analysis

As the year ends, we like to look at the big picture to see how we might want to position trades in the early part of the upcoming year. This…

December 26, 2024
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Close a few more trades.

As we approach year-end, we notice that stock prices are having trouble. US Treasury yields are rising (bond prices are falling), and we think this has something to do with…

December 25, 2024
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Happy Holidays Everyone

December 23, 2024
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Going to the Dogs (part 3)

As the final installment of our 3 part “Dogs of the Dow/S&P 500” series of articles, we’re following up on Monday’s trade idea in ConocoPhillips, an idea for an “oil”…

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