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CF Industries: CF

Industrial farming, as it is, depends heavily on fertilizer. The primary pure-play competitors in the fertilizer space who reside in the US are CF Industries (CF), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Industries (IPI), and Nutrient (NUT). This article is for paid members…
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Chevron: CVX

Unlike the average investor, we like the oil & gas sector of the economy. As much as we would like to see a transition to more efficient energy sources, that is just not happening. All we have to do is…
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What Ails UnitedHealth? (updated)

The Fortune 500 is an annual list compiled by Fortune magazine. It ranks the top 500 U.S. companies by total revenue and is typically released around this time each year. The list includes both publicly traded and privately held companies.…
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Selling Volatility: SVXY

Selling volatility is a yield strategy. Volatility traders buy vol when it is cheap and sell it when it is expensive. Options market makers buy and sell options against stock as they provide liquidity to the market. That removes 80%…
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Panning for yield.

Most investors, particularly when they first start investing, are primarily concerned with capital appreciation. Parents saving for a child’s college education will only withdraw from those savings once their son or daughter begins attending. Saving for a down payment on…
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Discover Financial Services: DFS

Credit card products are the most profitable products in the financial services industry. I am also the most volatile. When the economy is chugging along, defaults are low and profits are high. When the economy goes into recession, defaults and…
January 18, 2025
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Molson Coors Beverage Company: TAP

Is it time to blow the froth off a couple? We think so. The beverage stocks (TAP, BUD, & STZ) have gotten beaten up in the past few years. In…

January 16, 2025
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Dell Technologies: DELL

When it came to the AI data center buildout, we thought investors should focus on Dell Technologies, not Super Microcomputer Inc. SMCI makes a good product. Still, we did not…

January 15, 2025
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Traders Are Speculating on a Bounce in Investment Grade Bonds

US consumer prices rose less than expected in December, signaling a potential cooling of inflation pressures. The core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased…

January 14, 2025
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Netflix: NFLX

If you go back 100+ years, we see that values stocks beat growth stocks. But an odd thing happened after the great financial crisis. Growth stocks outperformed value stocks. This…

January 13, 2025
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Options Expiration

Standard monthly options will come due at the end of the week. We have eight trades coming due; three are winners, and five are losers. This article is for paid…

January 12, 2025
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India’s Growth is Slowing, But It Continues to Outpace Rivals

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January 12, 2025
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Open Mike

In the latest edition of Open Mike, Mike discusses yields on 10-year US & China Treasuries, TLT (20+year US Treasury ETF), United Health, eBay, JNJ, quantum computing, SPY, Alphabet, This…

January 11, 2025
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Ark Innovation: ARKK

When one thinks of macro equity trading, one typically uses passive index ETFs to express their opinion. Want large-cap exposure? Buy SPY. If you want small-cap exposure, buy IWM. There…

January 9, 2025
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Keep the options trades simple when spreads are wide, and volumes low.

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January 8, 2025
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Apple Inc.: AAPL

Apple is one of the stalwarts of the magnificent seven. These mega-cap companies represent about 33% of the S&P500. Many ask, "Can these companies get any bigger relative to the…

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