CPI: A Little Too Hot
The Labor Department reported the CPI this morning. Our view going into this, which we shared here and on Twitter @mguthner @the_OptionsEdge, was that (1) investors are optimistic about the…
The Week Ahead | 9/12/2022
Next week’s major focus will be on US inflation data, which will be at the top of the agenda. On Tuesday, we’ll receive the August CPI figure, and experts forecast…
The Week Ahead | 09/06/2022
Next week, markets will have their eyes glued to central banks. In particular, investors are eagerly anticipating the ECB meeting next Thursday as well as Fed Chair Powell’s speech that…
Monthly Market Update
August is another down month for financial assets. Price action is volatile, creating confusion in the minds of strategists and financial media.
The Week Head | 8/29/2022
Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech lasted around 8 minutes, and in it, he delivered a more straightforward message with less opportunity for mistakes in interpretation. In short, interest rates will…
The Week Ahead | 8/22/2022
Caution: Don’t Be Fooled By The Stock Market • We are concerned about the direction that company earnings will take. We’re seeing a shift in consumer spending and a stalling…
The Week Ahead | 8/15/2022
The best news the US economy has seen in a long time came from June’s inflation statistics. Both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Indexes (PPI) recorded better-than-expected…
The Week Ahead | 8/8/2022
Despite some encouraging signs, the economy is still not humming. The unemployment rate remains close to a 50-year low, but the Treasury yield curve is inverted and Federal Reserve officials…
What’s Next for Equity Markets?
The stock market is undergoing quite a rip higher. While this bear market bounce was not unexpected, the steep trajectory of the bounce and its extent did catch us on…
The Week Ahead | 8/1/2022
The month of July has been a splendid month for investors. The fed funds futures market is pricing in another 100 basis points of rate hikes for the remainder of…