Unintended Regime Change
Unfortunately for investors, the phrase “regime change” may become a nasty double entendre. This article is for paid members - please login or subscribe for access. Username Password Remember Me…
If I Were a Presidential Speechwriter
My Fellow Americans, Nearly one month ago, following a period of unprecedented escalation and the exhaustion of every diplomatic avenue, I ordered the United States military to take decisive action…
If We Kick the Can Into a Dark Alley, We Should Not Follow
The war with Iran has always been asymmetric. While we clearly have kinetic superiority, they have the existential "will to live", numerous economic pressure points, they don't have elections, they're…
How Robust Is the Iranian Regime, and How Might Russia and China Play Into This?
Iran's leadership system is more resilient to decapitation than many people assume, because power is intentionally distributed across the Supreme Leader's office, the IRGC, clerical institutions, the judiciary, the Guardian…
How Might the Conflict in the Middle East Play Out? And How Should One Position For It?
The conflict in the Middle East now appears to be a live regional war rather than a contained exchange between the United States, Israel, and Iran. Many news outlets, including…
“If Something cannot go on forever, it will stop.” -Stein
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Good Fortune? Or Bad? Fortune Brands
Despite Fortune Brands Innovations' (NYSE: FBIN) optimistic name, investors may want to approach the stock with caution. The company, which manufactures plumbing fixtures, cabinets, and security products through brands like…
Why We Sold NVIDIA l NVDA
In equity markets, returns and market capitalization do not follow a normal distribution. This article is for paid members - please login or subscribe for access.
Give Thanks. Then Give Me Twenty.
It’s well known that Americans tend to overindulge a bit during the year-end holidays. Thanksgiving is commonly believed to be the day with the highest average calorie intake of the…
When Black Friday Comes
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Santa Baby, An Investor’s Christmas List
As the holidays approach, I am reminded of Eartha Kitt's famous rendition of "Santa Baby", a rather ambitious Christmas list that included a duplex and checks. One particularly expensive item…
GE Aerospace is at all-time highs, but there are significant risks.
GE Aerospace's impressive rally since its spinoff from General Electric has captured investor enthusiasm; This article is for paid members - please login or subscribe for access.