Since Reaching the Top of the Fortune 500, Amazon Has Become Rangebound
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What Is Implied Correlation? Why Does it Matter?
What is Implied Correlation? This article is for paid members - please login or subscribe for access.
Gold Continues to Glitter
Gold jumped roughly 7% this week, logging its best weekly gain in eight months, driven by a weaker U.S. dollar, falling Treasury yields, and an unexpected contraction in employment data…
Selling Insurance on an Insurer – Cigna
With semis whipping around on every AI headline and index volatility spiking, I'm looking for a counterpoint, a stable, cash-generating business where I can sell volatility instead of buying drama.…
Unintended Regime Change
Unfortunately for investors, the phrase “regime change” may become a nasty double entendre. This article is for paid members - please login or subscribe for access.
If I Were a Presidential Speechwriter
My Fellow Americans, Nearly one month ago, following a period of unprecedented escalation and the exhaustion of every diplomatic avenue, I ordered the United States military to take decisive action…
If We Kick the Can Into a Dark Alley, We Should Not Follow
The war with Iran has always been asymmetric. While we clearly have kinetic superiority, they have the existential "will to live", numerous economic pressure points, they don't have elections, they're…
How Robust Is the Iranian Regime, and How Might Russia and China Play Into This?
Iran's leadership system is more resilient to decapitation than many people assume, because power is intentionally distributed across the Supreme Leader's office, the IRGC, clerical institutions, the judiciary, the Guardian…
How Might the Conflict in the Middle East Play Out? And How Should One Position For It?
The conflict in the Middle East now appears to be a live regional war rather than a contained exchange between the United States, Israel, and Iran. Many news outlets, including…
“If Something cannot go on forever, it will stop.” -Stein
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Good Fortune? Or Bad? Fortune Brands
Despite Fortune Brands Innovations' (NYSE: FBIN) optimistic name, investors may want to approach the stock with caution. The company, which manufactures plumbing fixtures, cabinets, and security products through brands like…
Why We Sold NVIDIA l NVDA
In equity markets, returns and market capitalization do not follow a normal distribution. This article is for paid members - please login or subscribe for access.