The Week Ahead | 1/6/2019

 

Global Spotlight

Next Week: The Persian Gulf region is on edge as it awaits Iranian retaliation for the killing of Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps’ Quds Force, by a U.S. drone strike in Iraq.

Jan. 7: Spain’s interim prime minister, Pedro Sanchez, probably will win a vote of investiture in parliament on Jan. 7 that will allow him to lead the country’s first coalition government.

Jan. 11: Taiwan holds general elections on Jan. 11 that could shape cross-strait relations for years to come. Polls suggest that incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen will win reelection while her ruling Democratic Progressive Party appears set to retain its legislative majority.

Stratfor.com

Economic Calendar

Briefing.com has a good U.S. economic calendar for the week. Here are the main U.S. releases.

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Briefing.com

Last Weeks Numbers

Review Last weeks numbers here.

Last week was low volume grind higher.  Normally when I see this type of behavior the trader in me lookks to fade.

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Earnings

Source I/B/E/S data from Refinitiv

S&P 500 Aggregate Estimates and Revisions

  • 19Q4 earnings are expected to decrease 0.3% from 18Q4. Excluding the energy sector, the earnings growth estimate is 2.0%.
  • Of the 16 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings to date for 19Q4, 87.5% have reported earnings above analyst expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 65% and prior four quarter average of 74%
  • The 19Q4 blended revenue growth estimate is 4.1%. Excluding the energy sector, the revenue growth estimate is 5.4%.
  • 68.8% of companies have reported 19Q4 revenue above analyst expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 60% and prior four quarter average of 58%.

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