The Week Ahead | 12/02/2019

The Stocks rallied last week to new record highs as they marched lock step in the bull investors favor.  Trading on blind optimism continued to fuel the risk-on behavior.  The S&P 500 rose .99% last week to 25.30% YTD.

Welcome back from the holiday.  Happy Monday. Good Luck out there this week.

Economic Calendar

Briefing.com has a good U.S. economic calendar for the week. Here are the main U.S. releases.

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Briefing.com

Last Weeks Numbers

Review Last weeks numbers here. The SP 500 had a great Thanksgiving Day run up into Black Friday.

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Earnings

Source I/B/E/S data from Refinitiv

Aggregate Estimates and Revisions

  • Third quarter earnings are expected to decrease 0.4% from 18Q3. Excluding the energy sector, the earnings growth estimate is 2.2%.
  • Of the 488 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings to date for 19Q3, 75.2% have reported earnings above analyst expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 65% and prior four quarter average of 74%.
  • 19Q3 revenue is expected to increase 3.8% from 18Q3. Excluding the energy sector, the growth estimate is 5.2%.
  • 58.2% of companies have reported 19Q3 revenue above analyst expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 60% and an average over the past four quarters of 59%.
  • For 19Q4, there have been 69 negative EPS preannouncements issued by S&P 500 corporations compared to 33 positive, which results in an N/P ratio of 2.1 for the S&P 500 Index.
  • The forward four-quarter (19Q4 –20Q3) P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is 18.3.
  • During the week of Dec. 2, ten S&P 500 companies are expected to report quarterly earnings.

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